Lecturer (Assistant Professor) in Data Science | University of Bristol Research Advisor | RiskEcon Lab, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, NYU

Data science for decision support in crises.

I develop data science and computational modelling methods to support decision-making across a range of crisis settings, including national policy contexts, humanitarian and conflict-affected environments. My research combines artificial intelligence, agent-based modelling, simulation and heterogeneous data to understand how crises affect populations, movement dynamics, public services and aid delivery.

Portrait of Joseph Aylett-Bullock

Core Research Programme

Understanding crises as connected systems

My core research programme focuses on developing methods for modelling crises as connected socio-technical systems. This includes both applied and application-motivated theoretical research. Specifically, my work examines how to combine modelling approaches to understand how both sudden-onset shocks and longer-term pressures - from extreme weather and conflict escalation to the longer term implications of humanitarian emergencies or climage change. I study how these processes affect population displacement, disease dynamics and the delivery of aid and critical services. Modelling is only part of the challenge, building systems for decision support that integrate into decision-making workflows makes system design a core research question. This research leverages AI, agent-based modelling and simulation, and draws on data from a wide array of sources to understand societal responses in crisis contexts more holistically.

A crisis affects populations, health and services, and decisions, with information environments and uncertainty influencing the system.

Trajectory

From scientific simulations to operational crisis research

  1. Now

    University of Bristol

    Lecturer in Data Science, developing an integrated programme on data-informed decision-making in crisis contexts.

  2. 2023–26

    UN Department of Peace Operations

    Led data science and technology work on information integrity and founded a computational research structure supporting peacekeeping operations.

  3. 2018–23

    UN Global Pulse

    Led multidisciplinary work spanning satellite analysis, displacement modelling, public-health simulation and responsible AI.

  4. Foundation

    Durham University

    PhD research which developed machine-learning methods for computationally expensive particle-physics simulations and uncertainty-aware Monte Carlo workflows.